California foreclosure blog

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Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac takeover?

**UPDATE: The government is getting more specific in discussing possible bailout or takeover options for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which has sent both stocks tumbling in trading on Friday. As of 10:20 Eastern Time, Fannie Mae is down nearly 40% from yesterday's low, and Freddie Mac is down about 43% from yesterday's close. Brace yourselves folks, as we're hitting some major turbulence...

Rumors are circulating about the possible takeover(s) of Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac. Fannie, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and Freddie, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, were created by Congress to foster the expansion of the home loan market by buying mortgages and reselling them as securities.

When Fannie and Freddie buy loans and repackage them as securities, they make money by charging the securities investors a guarantee fee. The guarantee obligates Fannie and Freddie to pay investors the principal and interest due in case of a borrower default.

We all know what's been happening with borrower defaults.

Sluggish loan originations, mounting losses on their guarantees, and no market to sell securitized loans for new revenue, have all combined to make a perfect storm for the troubled companies, with shares losing 67% (Fannie) and 77% (Freddie) since January 2008.

The two entities own or guarantee nearly half of all home loans in the U.S. market (about $5 trillion of the $12 trillion total). They also have bond obligations on their books for another $1.5 trillion. The reason the government may step in is that Fannie and Freddie are so big, a failure of either could pose a real threat to the economy.

The rumor mill as to possible government action runs the gamut from conservatorship to a government guarantee of their obligations, but any way you slice it, it would amount to a taxpayer bailout. Hell, with the way the government's been spending money in the Middle East, maybe the electorate has become numb to the concept of actually doubling our national debt.

 

 

1 commentJason Buckingham • July 11 2008 01:36AM

June 2008 foreclosure figures: yeah, it's bad, but not as bad as May...maybe

National foreclosure filings, while still at historic highs, decreased slightly in June 2008 compared to May 2008. However, the year over year figure (June 2008 compared to June 2007), is still up significantly.

The latest numbers from RealtyTrac indicate the following: new foreclosures in June 2008 were down 3% compared to May 2008, but were up 53% compared to June 2007. For California, June 2008 filings were down 5% compared to May 2008, but up 77% compared to June 2007. New Notices of Default in California totaled 68,666 for June 2008.

The most disturbing figure is the increase in REOs: in June 2008, bank owned properties increased 171% over June 2007. Banks took back over 71,000 properties in June.

1 commentJason Buckingham • July 10 2008 09:22AM

Federal foreclosure bill includes foreclosure consultant rules

The big foreclosure bill making its way through Congress contains important additional protections for distressed homeowners.

Senator Herb Kohl (D-WI) added an amendment to the bill which will enact a federal version of rules very similar to California's Foreclosure Consultant Act. Kohl's bill was co-sponsored by Senators Susan Collins (R-ME), Blanche Lincoln (D-AR), and Barbara Mikulski (D-MD). The Senate approved the amendment.

Among other things, the proposed rules will require foreclosure consultants to provide a three day right for a homeowner to cancel a contract and disclose any third party consideration in a property, and will prohibit consultants from collecting fees before rendering services, or obtaining a power of attorney from the borrower.

The new rules leave any existing state rules intact, and allow states without consultant acts to enforce the federal rules to punish those who prey upon distressed owners.

2 commentsJason Buckingham • July 09 2008 04:06PM

Hope Now offers none for many

The Hope Now program is not keeping up with the increasing troubles facing many borrowers, according to critics. An article in today's Orlando Sentinel highlights the experience of a local family that tried to work with Hope Now for months, only to end up being foreclosed on.

Hope Now is a voluntary alliance of several major mortgage lenders who pledged to adhere to a set of guidelines aimed at helping borrowers avoid foreclosure. The group claims that it has helped nearly 2 million borrowers avoid foreclosure since its formation in 2007.

Critics, including the Center for Responsible Lending and the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University, contend that Hope Now is failing far too many borrowers. If one assumes that Hope Now's numbers are accurate, then by their own estimate, they are only helping 28% of borrowers in trouble. Moreover, as delinquency and default rates are increasing at an accelerated pace, critics contend that lenders are not putting enough people in their Hope Departments to meet the need.

The real root of why Hope Now isn't working as well as it could is because it is, like so many initiatives sponsored by industry, completely voluntary. Borrowers have absolutely no recourse against a lender who fails to adhere to the Hope Now guidelines. There's a saying in legal circles: a right without a remedy is no right at all. Because there is no tangible downside to the lender for ignoring their Hope Now pledge, there is no real incentive to offer real solutions.

Some may claim that the financial and public image incentives should be enough to encourage lenders to try harder, and I agree - they should. But when the most common outcome for a borrower in trouble (nearly three quarters) is foreclosure, it becomes very clear that too many lenders really don't get it yet.

1 commentJason Buckingham • July 09 2008 09:05AM

Senate approves foreclosure bill 78-10, Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac lay an egg

Yesterday, the United States Senate overwhelmingly approved a bill to help struggling homeowners avoid foreclosure. The bill must now be approved in the House of Representatives, and the two versions must be reconciled (there were some differences between the two versions) and a final form approved before sending the bill to the President who has promised a veto. Of course, if the House approves the bill with a two thirds majority, the bill would be insulated from a Presidential veto.

News of the Senate approval, combined with a Lehman Brothers report about the impact of the bill, sent shares of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac down 16% and 18% respectively. The analysis by Lehman Brothers indicates that the two mortgage market giants may have to raise a combined $75 billion to comply with new accounting rules included in the pending legislation. The report also pointed out that Fannie and Freddie may be exempt from the proposed rule changes, in large part because both companies were originally created by the federal government.

0 commentsJason Buckingham • July 08 2008 09:31AM

Property taxes: the latest sign of the housing market

Many California property owners have just received some news from their County Assessor's Office. That news is both a blessing and a curse. Many counties have reduced proprety tax bills because of the current slide in property values.

On the one hand, who wouldn't like to find out that they owe less in taxes? On the other hand, who wants more evidence that their home is now worth less than they paid for and/or owe against it?

The value reductions are built into our tax system thanks to Proposition 13, which allows temporary relief during housing value slumps. During the last slump of the 1990s, values were kept for some areas for several years - right up until the last boom cycle.

The other downside regarding the value reductions is that local services, already feeling the pinch of the State's budget shortfalls, will see even fewer dollars: a significant part of local public safety services are paid through property taxes. With wildfires and a drought to deal with, this isn't the best time for cities and counties to be going broke.

0 commentsJason Buckingham • July 07 2008 12:21AM

Loan workouts inaccessible for many borrowers

According to a survey of 42 California loan counseling nonprofits, lenders are providing little more than lip service when it comes to working with borrowers to avoid foreclosure.

The survey was conducted by the California Reinvestment Coalition, a nonprofit organization that advocates for equal banking and financial services access rights for low income communities. The full report is available here.

Some noteworthy findings:

  • Foreclosure is still the most common outcome for borrowers in distress
  • Loan counselors are generally unable to get loan servicers to work with borrowers, especially before default
  • Loan servicers are not modifying loans on a noticeable scale, especially for long-term affordability

When you add the fact that most loan servicers get to keep most or all of the late fees, interest, and other junk fees associated with delinquent loans, it's no wonder that most servicers aren't interested in making a deal that works for the lender and borrower. Of course, the real root of any possible solution still rests with the lenders. Perhaps the recent passage of SB 1137 will help Californians get more timely and realistic responses from lenders.

0 commentsJason Buckingham • July 03 2008 06:42PM

Foreclosure bailout bill: California out in the cold?

The latest version of the much anticipated foreclosure bailout bill may leave more than half of California's homeowners out in the cold. The controversy is in the difference between the House and Senate versions of the bill. Specifically, the Senate version seeks to cap the eligible loan amount at $625,000, down from the current FHA loan cap of $729,750 set earlier this year. The House version retains the current loan limit.

The proposed legislation will allow borrowers in foreclosure to get a new FHA loan, provided the lender cooperates. And lenders have two reasons to deal: first, they get a government insured loan, and second, the loss the lender has to accept to participate is usually far less than the loss associated with taking a property back.

California Senator Barbara Boxer has pleaded with her colleagues in the Senate to ditch the lower loan cap because many California homeowners will not qualify for help under the $625,000 loan limit. Nationwide, about 97 million Americans would lose out because they live in areas with house values beyond the proposed lower limit.

To further complicate matters, the bill has been pulled from consideration in the Senate because of one Senator's attempt to tack on a Renewable Energy tax credit. Even with this setback, many in Congress are optimistic that the bill will eventually pass because of broad bi-partisan support.

Hopefully, the folks in Washington will be able to come together after their July 4th recess.

3 commentsJason Buckingham • July 02 2008 09:39AM

May 2008 foreclosure rate information

According to RealtyTrac, May 2008 foreclosures are up 48% nationwide compared to May 2007, and REOs nearly tripled in May 2008 over May 2007 (73,794 vs. 28,548). RealtyTrac estimates that total current REOs nationwide total 700,000 properties.

On a local note, in California, RealtyTrac reports 71,390 new Notices of Default recorded for May 2008, an 11% increase from April 2008, and a whopping 81% increase compared to May 2007.

2 commentsJason Buckingham • July 01 2008 09:54AM

State Senate passes foreclosure reform bill

California's State Assembly approved a bill that would add new requirements to the foreclosure process. SB 1137 received wide bi-partisan support, and was approved by a 2/3 majority, making the bill veto-proof.

The bill requires lenders to contact borrowers in trouble to attempt a loan workout prior to starting a foreclosure. Tenants also receive a new protection: a tenant in a foreclosed property must now be given a 60 day notice prior to starting an eviction. Formerly, a tenant in a foreclosed property became a trespasser once a property went to auction, because their lease was usually junior in priority to the loan in foreclosure. For owners of foreclosed properties (mostly lenders, but also investors), the bill allows daily fines of up to $1000 for failure to maintain a property.

**UPDATE**: On Thursday, July 3, Governor Schwarzenegger indicated that he will sign the bill, making most of its provisions effective immediately.

1 commentJason Buckingham • July 01 2008 09:38AM